Reds vs Orioles Prediction - MLB Picks 6/28/23

Baltimore Orioles (48-30) vs Cincinnati Reds (42-38)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 28, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Kyle Gibson (8-5) (4.30) vs Luke Weaver (1-2) (6.86)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -196 / Cincinnati Reds +150 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Baltimore Orioles and the Cincinnati Reds will conclude their interleague series this Wednesday from Camden Yards on MASN. Cincinnati took Game two behind a strong pitching effort from Andrew Abbott.

Reds Betting Preview

Cincinnati moved to 42-39 after defeating Baltimore. The Reds snapped a three-Game skid with a win last night, and they’ll look to double down here Wednesday. The Cincinnati offense is scoring 3.78 runs per Game, while batting .257, with a .334 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.96 ERA, with a 1.46 WHIP. Jonathan India leads the team in hits (79), after collecting a hit in seven of the previous ten Games, with splits of .259/10/40. Jake Fraley has an identical trend going in seven of his last ten Games, and he leads Cincy in RBI (47), with eleven home runs. Spencer Steer went yard in the Game one loss to take the team-lead in homers (12), with 46 RBI. Elly De La Cruz is hitless over his last three Games, but he’s scored a run in eight of the last ten,and could be due for some production soon. 

Luke Weaver (1-2, 6.86 ERA, 53 Ks) will get the ball for Cincinnati. The journeyman pitcher has endured a tough month of June despite the heightened success of the team, and he gave up five runs in just 3.1 innings against Atlanta in his last start. Weaver has allowed five runs or more in three of his four appearances this month, and he’ll attempt to close it on a different note here. 

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Orioles Betting Preview 

Baltimore moved to 48-30 after losing to Cincinnati. The Orioles were pretty much silenced at the plate in Game two, and they’ll look to respond here in the finale. LThe Baltimore offense is scoring 4.95 runs per Game, while batting .252, with a .329 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.09 ERA, with a 1.29 WHIP. Austin Hays plated three runs in the Game one win, and he leads the O’s in hits (84) and batting (.315). Anthony Santander has produced a run in five of the last eight Games, and he leads Baltimore in HR (14) and RBI (47). 

Kyle Gibson (8-5, 4.30 ERA, 69 Ks) will take the bump for Baltimore. The veteran righty enters on the heels of his toughest outing of the season against Seattle last week, which saw him be pulled after allowing five runs in just three innings. Gibson has allowed three runs or more in four of his last five appearances, and after dropping back-to-back starts, he’ll now have to deal with one of the hottest lineups in the league right now. 

Cincinnati vs Baltimore Trends

Cincinnati is 38-41 against the spread this season, with a 35-42-2 O/U record. Baltimore is 41-38 ATS this year, with a 42-35-2 over/under record.

Corey's Free Pick

The ingredients are in play for Baltimore to come away with a victory, and it should come down to a matter of execution. The Orioles will come into Game three with an advantage on the mound, and they’ll also get to face a vulnerable Luke Weaver, who will more than likely allow production. The O’s have also done a good job of closing sets out, as they’ve won all six of their series finales this month. Back Baltimore for this interleague matchup, and give the Over a look, as Cincinnati should be able to contribute as well.

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