Orioles vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 7/24/23

Philadelphia Phillies (53-46) vs Baltimore Orioles (61-38)

Game Info: Monday, July 24, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Cristopher Sanchez (0-3) (3.06) vs Dean Kremer (10-4) (4.80)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -130 / Baltimore Orioles +110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baltimore Orioles will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Baltimore comes into this series leading the AL East by a slim margin over Tampa Bay, while Philadelphia is in second place in the NL East behind the Braves.

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 61-38 this season and they have won four of their last five Games. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won three out of the four Games on the road. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average this year. The Orioles offense has scored 488 runs with a .251 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .247 with 16 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Orioles. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 10-4 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 108.2 innings pitched this season.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 53-46 this season and they have lost four of their last five Games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series loss to the Guardians, where they lost two out of three Games. Prior to that series, the Phillies lost two out of three Games at home against Milwaukee. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 446 runs with a .256 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Nick Castellanos is batting .282 with 14 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 0-3 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this year. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Baltimore Orioles ranks 5th in the league for doubles this season (185).

The Baltimore Orioles ranks T8th in the league for triples this season (17).

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 3rd in the league for triples this season (21).

The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

Pick

The Orioles come into this Game playing great baseball and they have won 12 of their last 15 Games, while the Phillies have lost two series in a row. Philadelphia has played well at home this year, but Baltimore is one of the best road teams in all of baseball. The Orioles are starting Dean Kremer, who has allowed 5, 1, 1, and 7 earned runs over his last four starts. The Phillies are starting Cristopher Sanchez, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five consecutive starts. Sanchez has been sharp for Philadelphia and I like the Phillies to get the win. 

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