Guardians vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 8/15/23

Cincinnati Reds (62-58) vs Cleveland Guardians (57-62)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Graham Ashcraft (6-7) (4.95) vs Logan Allen (5-5) (3.55)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -102 / Cleveland Guardians -118 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Guardians will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Guardians have not won a series in their last five tries and they are 4.5 Games back of the Twins in the AL Central. The Reds have had their own issues recently as well, which has dropped them a few Games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Which team can get the much needed win here?

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 57-62 this season and they have lost six of their last nine Games. Cleveland is coming off of a series loss against the Rays, where they lost two out of three Games. The Guardians have been one of the lower scoring teams in the MLB, but they did score 22 runs in their series with the Rays. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Guardians offense has scored 485 runs with a .251 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .282 with 18 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 5-5 with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 91.1 innings pitched this year. 

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 62-58 this season and they have lost nine of their last 12 Games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series win against the Pirates, where they won two out of three Games. The Reds continue to score a good amount of runs, but their pitching staff has been brutal. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a .259 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 581 runs with a .251 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this year. Spencer Steer is batting .272 with 18 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Graham Ashcraft, who is 6-7 with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 120 innings pitched this season.

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Matchup/League Facts

The Cleveland Guardians ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (828).

The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (120).

The Cincinnati Reds ranks 1st in the league for steals this season (134).

The Cincinnati Reds ranks 3rd in the league for triples this season (25).

Pick

This series is huge for both of these teams, as they try to stay in the race for the postseason. Cleveland is only 26-34 on the road this year, but they do get Jose Ramirez back from suspension for this Game. Cincinnati is 29-31 at home and they will have one of their hottest pitchers on the mound. The Reds are starting Graham Ashcraft, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Guardians are starting Logan Allen, who has allowed 1, 2, 5, and 4 earned runs over his last four outings. I like how Ashcraft has looked recently and I am going to take the Reds to win at home. 

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